Khan Academy on a Stick
Probability and combinatorics
Basics of probability and combinatorics
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Basic Probability
ccAn introduction to probability
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Example: Marbles from a bag
ccThe probability of picking a yellow marble from a bag.
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Example: Picking a non-blue marble
ccExample of figuring out the probability of picking a non-blue marble from a bag.
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Example: Picking a yellow marble
ccWorking out the probability of pulling a yellow marble from a bag of multi-colored marbles.
Basic probability
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Probability with Playing Cards and Venn Diagrams
ccProbability of compound events. The Addition Rule. Common Core Standard 457 S-CP.7
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Addition Rule for Probability
ccVenn diagrams and the addition rule for probability
Venn diagrams and the addition rule
What is the probability of getting a diamond or an ace from a deck of cards? Well I could get a diamond that is not an ace, an ace that is not a diamond, or the ace of diamonds. This tutorial helps us think these types of situations through a bit better (especially with the help of our good friend, the Venn diagram).
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Compound Probability of Independent Events
ccProbability of particular sequences of flips
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Getting At Least One Heads
ccProbability of getting at least one heads in multiple flips of a fair coin
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Example: Probability of rolling doubles
ccThinking about the probability of rolling doubles on a pair of dice
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LeBron Asks: What are the chances of making 10 free throws in a row?
ccLeBron James asks Sal how to determine the probability of making 10 free throws in a row
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LeBron Asks: What are the chances of three free throws versus one three pointer?
ccLeBron James asks Sal Khan if it is easier to make three free throws or one three-pointer.
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Frequency Probability and Unfair Coins
ccA different way of thinking about probability when we don't have equally likely events
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Example: Getting two questions right on an exam
ccProbability of two independent events occuring.
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Example: Rolling even three times
ccAnother example showing the probability of rolling an even number three times in a row.
Compound, independent events
What is the probability of making three free throws in a row (LeBron literally asks this in this tutorial). In this tutorial, we'll explore compound events happening where the probability of one event is not dependent on the outcome of another (compound, independent, events).
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Introduction to dependent probability
ccDeciding whether you want to play a game at a strange casino.
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Example: Dependent probability
ccThinking about how the probability of an event can be dependent on another event occuring.
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Example: Is an event independent or dependent?
ccIndependent Events 1
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Example: Bag of unfair coins
ccExample where the probability of an outcome is dependent on which coin you happen to pick
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Monty Hall Problem
ccPresentation and analysis of the famous Monty Hall Problem
Dependent events
What's the probability of picking two "e" from the bag in scrabble (assuming that I don't replace the tiles). Well, the probability of picking an 'e' on your second try depends on what happened in the first (if you picked an 'e' the first time around, then there is one less 'e' in the bag). This is just one of many, many type of scenarios involving dependent probability.
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Permutations
ccIntroduction to permutations
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Combinations
ccIntroduction to combinations
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Example: Ways to arrange colors
ccThinking about how many ways you can pick four colors from a group of 6
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Example: 9 card hands
ccThinking about how many ways we can construct a hand of 9 cards
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Example: Ways to pick officers
ccHow many ways can we pick officers for our organization?
Permutations and combinations
If want to display your Chuck Norris dolls on your desk at school and there is only room for five of them. Unfortunately, you own 50. How many ways can you pick the dolls and arrange them on your desk? What if you don't what order they are in or how they are posed (okay, of course you care about their awesome poses)?
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Example: Probability through counting outcomes
ccThe probability of getting exactly 2 heads when flipping three coins. Thinking about this by visualy depicting all of the outcomes.
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Example: All the ways you can flip a coin
ccManually going through the combinatorics to determine the probability of an event occuring
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Getting Exactly Two Heads (Combinatorics)
ccA different way to think about the probability of getting 2 heads in 4 flips
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Probability and Combinations (part 2)
ccMaking at least 3 out of 5 free throws.
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Probability using Combinations
ccProbability of getting exactly 3 heads in 8 flips of a fair coin.
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Exactly Three Heads in Five Flips
ccProbability of exactly 3 heads in 5 flips using combinations
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Example: Different ways to pick officers
ccThinking about the different ways we can pick officers in order to find the probability of one situation in particular.
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Example: Combinatorics and probability
ccProbability of getting a set of cards
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Example: Lottery probability
ccWhat is the probability of winning a 4-number lottery?
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Mega Millions Jackpot Probability
ccProbability of winning the Mega Millions jackpot
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Generalizing with Binomial Coefficients (bit advanced)
ccConceptual understanding of where the formula for binomial coefficients come from
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Conditional Probability and Combinations
ccProbability that I picked a fair coin given that I flipped 4 out of 6 heads.
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Conditional Probability (Bayes Theorem) Visualized
Conditional probability visualized using trees.
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Birthday Probability Problem
ccThe probability that at least 2 people in a room of 30 share the same birthday.
Probability using combinatorics
This tutorial will apply the permutation and combination tools you learned in the last tutorial to problems of probability. You'll finally learn that there may be better "investments" than poring all your money into the Powerball Lottery.